This monograph proposes an answer to the question: Can the current tactical mission risk analysis process adequately support the doctrine tenet of versatility? The conclusion is that true versatility in unfamiliar operations may require a more...
Colonel (retired) Oliver G. Haywood suggested in his brilliant 1954 article, "Military Decisions and Game Theory" that game theory techniques were relevant to preparing the military commander's estimate of the situation. He based his article on...
This monograph discusses the nature of tactical intelligence prediction in military operations. Such prediction is extremely complex and involves a broad range of factors from traditional military ones such as terrain and doctrine to more...
Because of the dangers of combat that Army officers potentially face, it was hypothesized that they should become sensitized to risk taking, and that this could be observed by their being less risk averse than civilians. This study sampled two...
Contains a daily summary of enemy intelligence for the Southwest Pacific Area, including a G-2 estimate of the enemy situation and other miscellaneous information.
Economic and political trends over the last several years have combined to make available combat power a truly scarce resource in this nation, perhaps for the first time since World War II. The trend toward increasing resource constraints can be...
This monograph discusses the components and characteristics of decision-making that are necessary to achieve the tactical agility required in AirLand Battle. As one of the four tenets of AirLine Doctrine, agility - the ability to decide and act...
The art and science of military intelligence analysis has been scrutinized for its accuracy and value since the beginning of warfare. With every advance in technology and information processing, the delta between the trained cognitive capabilities...
The United States Army presently receives weather forecasts expressed in categorical terms. However, this forecast form limits the useful information that can be communicated to the decision maker. This study investigates the utility of replacing...
This thesis proposes and demonstrates a methodology that enables the user to generate optimal portfolios of projects, based largely on the data envelopment analysis (DEA) approach developed by Israeli professors and industrial engineers, Harel...
People in modern societies are generally becoming more risk aversive. Whether risk is perceived to include uncertainty or not, form two differing schools of thought within literature and doctrine. Risk aversion is viewed as a challenge in most...
The contemporary operating environment and recent increases in asymmetric tactics to counter the conventional military superiority of the U.S. presents significant operational challenges. Recovery forces are vulnerable conducting personnel recovery...
As western civilization evolved from a pre-industrial to an industrial society, social and technological changes transformed the structure and modus operandi of political, economic, and military institutions. With the dawning of the 21st century...
The proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and their delivery means - tactical ballistic and cruise missiles - have caused anguish in the West. Few nations are equipped to defend against theater missiles. Theater missiles encompass the broad...
Periodic summary of enemy trends. Looks at ground issues in Bougainville, New Britain, New Guinea and the Philippines, air issues with air operations and air strength, and Navy issues concerning naval forces, merchant shipping and barge activity.
The purpose of this study is to identify a decision-making process appropriate to the nature of operational art. The monograph characterizes the process by which the operational level commander perceives the mission and the current situation, makes...
This document provides the daily summary of enemy intelligence, estimate of the enemy situation, and other miscellaneous information from on the ground, air, and navy in the Pacific Theater.
"The recent development of materiel and the methods of employing it has made it necessary to revise our scheme of national defense, and accordingly the present approved Coast Defense Project calls for a positive defense against enemy landings on...