Since the end of the “Cold War” in 1989, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) has had a reduction in its ability to perform its tenet missions: Foreign Intelligence Collection, Covert Action, and Counter Intelligence. This is primarily due to...
Colonel (retired) Oliver G. Haywood suggested in his brilliant 1954 article, "Military Decisions and Game Theory" that game theory techniques were relevant to preparing the military commander's estimate of the situation. He based his article on...
Office of the Commanding General, Army Service Forces, War Department
The objective of this plan is to insure that the missions of the Control Division, Army Service Forces, are carried out in effecting redeployment, readjustment, and demobilization during period I. Sections include: Control Division plan; plans and...
This monograph highlights the lack of a doctrinal course of action development process for creating campaign plans. Such a process is needed due to the inexperience of both senior leaden and middle-grade staff officers with the operational level of...
This study examines four potential courses of action for transforming the Combat Training Centers (CTCs) to provide adequate training for the Objective Force. The Combat Training Centers examined in this study (the National Training Center at Fort...
Course of action analysis is a critical step in the traditional military decision making process. During this step, planners determine the suitability, feasibility, and acceptability of a possible solution. Common staff procedures for analyzing...
Overall, OPLOGPLAN '98 and the LEW '98, do not assist the logistics planner in the creation of division level plans. OPLOG and the LEW are models that calculate sustainment factors, not decision models. Both software programs are management...
This monograph examines the adequacy of doctrinal decision-making procedures for the operational level of war. These doctrinal procedures are found in emerging joint doctrine. For these procedures to be adequate, they should: provide a rigorous...
This monograph examines the ability of the currently available logistics planning software, OPLOGPLAN ‘98 and the LEW ‘98, to assist the logistics planner in the creation of division level plans. To define the utility of the logistics planning...
The June 1993 version of FM 100-5, Operations, introduced the concept of battle command into United States Army Doctrine. The battle command concept emphasizes the art of command' and implies that battle command drives the requirements for command...
The 1993 version of FN4 100-5, Operations, formally added the theoretical term of decisive points to our professional warfighting lexicon without providing a useful methodology for their identification. This monograph undertakes a study of decisive...
Since the Chief of Staff of the Army, General Eric K. Shinseki, announced to the Army that it would transform or become irrelevant, there has been much discussion and debate as to what direction this transformation should head. The initial tumult...
This monograph examines the relationship between battlefield synchronization and decision-making. Beginning with a review of rational analytical decision theory and Gary Klein’s recognition primed decision theory, the monograph reviews the...
This monograph began as an investigation to determine if either Effects-Based Operations (EBO) or Systemic Operational Design (SOD) should replace the traditional Military Decision-Making Process (MDMP). It soon became clear that the approaches do...
Stolfi, Russel H.; Historical Branch, G-3 Division Headquarters, U.S. Marine Corps
The origin of this pamphlet lies in the continuing program at all levels of command to keep Marines informed of the ways of combat and civic action in Vietnam. Not limited in any way to set methods and means, this informational effort spreads...
The Army is in the midst of a significant transformation into the Future Force. The purpose of this transformation is to provide the right kind of forces for the needs of the future. By the year 2010, the current Army organizational structure...
This monograph examines the role of initiative in AirLand Battle doctrine as contained in the 1986 edition of Field Manual 100-5 Operations. It concludes that although the tenet of initiative is clearly defined as setting the terms of battle by...
This monograph examines the Military Decision-Making Process (MDMP) as presented in the 1997 version of FM 101-5, Staff Organization and Operations. Numerous military professionals and decision-making theorists hold that an analytical process such...
The purpose of this study is to determine why intelligence officers acting as battalion S-2 have difficulty predicting the enemy. It hypothesizes that two causes: lack of experience of the principal officers conducting IPB and inadequate emphasis...